Progrès Sakiet Eddaïervs
CS Sfaxien
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0-0 CS Sfaxien, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 CS Sfaxien
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.6% | 33.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 32.9% | 32.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.5% | 34.2% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 CS Sfaxien
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerDWDWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CS SfaxienWDWDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerCS Sfaxien
33.3Attack50.0
91.7Defence75.0
66.7Form66.7
66.3Power66.3
0.82xG0.80