GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0-0 CS Hammam-Lif, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 CS Hammam-Lif

Original prediction

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7551.1%43.9%-7.2 pts
Draw2.9130.7%31.1%0.4 pts
Away4.9118.2%25.0%6.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.2 pts

Projected Score

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 CS Hammam-Lif

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Progrès Sakiet EddaïerDW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
CS Hammam-LifLL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerCS Hammam-Lif
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
68.0Power23.7
1.11xG0.67
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