GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 8/19/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concordia · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Progresul Spartac are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concordia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Concordia hold a 71.1-point power-rating edge (16.8 v 87.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Liga II, while Concordia holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concordia

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Concordia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Progresul SpartacLLWDW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ConcordiaWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Progresul SpartacConcordia
18.7Attack77.8
13.3Defence77.8
5.3Form100.0
16.8Power87.9
0.55xG2.66
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