ProgresovsLiverpool Montevideo

Progreso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Primera División, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.