Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Progreso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Progreso are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Atenas have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Progreso hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Segunda División, while Progreso holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Progreso
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Progreso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00