Progres Niederkornvs
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Progres Niederkorn 0-0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Original prediction
Progres Niederkorn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.7% | 40.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 24.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.6% | 34.5% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Progres Niederkorn
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40