GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/13/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Progres Niederkorn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Marisca Mersch are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Progres Niederkorn hold a 46.0-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the National Division, while Progres Niederkorn holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Progres Niederkorn

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

67.3%

Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Progres NiederkornWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Marisca MerschLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.50/4.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Progres NiederkornMarisca Mersch
50.0Attack44.4
83.3Defence31.1
100.0Form28.9
83.3Power37.3
2.56xG0.98
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