Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Progres Niederkorn

Progres Niederkorn

Home
DD
11
Full time
Excelsior Virton

Excelsior Virton

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Excelsior Virton33%
Progres Niederkorn33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Progres Niederkorn
33%
Draw
33%
Excelsior Virton
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Progres Niederkorn
34
Excelsior Virton
34
Defence
Progres Niederkorn
66
Excelsior Virton
6
Momentum
Progres Niederkorn
33
Excelsior Virton
0
Danger (xG)
Progres Niederkorn
0.90
Excelsior Virton
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Progres Niederkorn)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Excelsior Virton)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Progres Niederkorn)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Excelsior Virton)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn
DD
Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Progres Niederkorn33%
Draw33%
Excelsior Virton33%

Excelsior Virton leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Progres Niederkorn head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (DD), while Excelsior Virton arrive in mixed form (L). Progres Niederkorn have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Excelsior Virton over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Progres Niederkorn's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Excelsior Virton defence (6/100), while Excelsior Virton's attack is up against a solid Progres Niederkorn backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Progres Niederkorn's favour.

Progres Niederkorn have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Excelsior Virton have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Progres Niederkorn and Excelsior Virton in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Progres Niederkorn 3333%, Draw 3333%, Excelsior Virton 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Progres Niederkorn

Progres Niederkorn

D
@ AS Jeunesse Esch
17 May 2026
00
D
vs Victoria Rosport
13 May 2026
22
Excelsior Virton

Excelsior Virton

L
@ RAAL La Louvière
15 Jul 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Excelsior Virton?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs Excelsior Virton?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Progres Niederkorn vs Excelsior Virton?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Progres Niederkorn vs Excelsior Virton?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more