Probiy Horodenkavs
Oleksandria
COMPLETEDUkraine · Cup · 9/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oleksandria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Probiy Horodenka 1-1 Oleksandria
Original prediction
Oleksandria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.13 | 18.0% | 34.1% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.6% | 26.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 57.4% | 39.1% | -18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Oleksandria
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Oleksandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00