GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/20/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Triestina are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PRO VercelliTriestina
43.9Attack53.5
58.8Defence61.4
46.5Form56.1
51.1Power58.1
1.06xG1.23
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