GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/28/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PRO Vercelli · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PRO Vercelli hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while PRO Vercelli holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PRO Vercelli

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

PRO Vercelli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaLWDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PRO VercelliPro Patria
43.9Attack32.5
58.8Defence55.3
46.5Form40.4
51.1Power45.1
1.28xG0.72
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