GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Padova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliLLWWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PadovaWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PRO VercelliPadova
43.9Attack48.2
58.8Defence75.4
46.5Form67.5
51.1Power64.8
0.66xG1.14
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