GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/3/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PRO Vercelli · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PRO Vercelli hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while PRO Vercelli holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PRO Vercelli

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

PRO Vercelli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NovaraWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PRO VercelliNovara
43.9Attack34.2
58.8Defence57.0
46.5Form37.7
51.1Power45.4
1.23xG0.76
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