GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/2/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PRO VercelliMantova
43.9Attack63.2
58.8Defence72.8
46.5Form70.2
51.1Power68.8
0.73xG1.50
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