PRO Vercellivs
Lecco
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: PRO Vercelli 0-0 Lecco, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
PRO Vercelli 0-5 Lecco
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.7% | 31.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 31.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.5% | 36.8% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
PRO Vercelli 0–0 Lecco
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PRO VercelliLWDLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoDDLDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PRO VercelliLecco
29.6Attack29.2
51.9Defence62.5
33.3Form37.5
40.4Power45.1
0.76xG0.85