PRO Vercellivs
Folgore Caratese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PRO Vercelli · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PRO Vercelli 1-0 Folgore Caratese
Original prediction
PRO Vercelli
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.8% | 40.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 29.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.5% | 30.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
PRO Vercelli
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
PRO Vercelli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20