GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/30/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PRO Vercelli · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PRO Vercelli hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while PRO Vercelli holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PRO Vercelli

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

PRO Vercelli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliLDLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FiorenzuolaWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PRO VercelliFiorenzuola
43.9Attack33.3
58.8Defence45.6
46.5Form33.3
51.1Power39.9
1.58xG0.73
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