PRO Vercellivs
Athletic Carpi
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PRO Vercelli · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PRO Vercelli 2-0 Athletic Carpi
Original prediction
PRO Vercelli
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.2% | 40.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 29.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.5% | 30.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
PRO Vercelli
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
PRO Vercelli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80