GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/4/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

PRO Vercelli are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atalanta II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PRO VercelliDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IIDWWDW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PRO VercelliAtalanta II
43.9Attack37.7
58.8Defence68.4
46.5Form51.8
51.1Power54.4
0.88xG0.86
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