PRO Vercellivs
Alcione
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcione · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PRO Vercelli 2-2 Alcione
Original prediction
Alcione
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.7% | 32.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.7% | 29.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.6% | 37.9% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Alcione
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Alcione has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00