Pro Vercelli U19vs
Mantova U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pro Vercelli U19 2-2 Mantova U19
Original prediction
Mantova U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.4% | 34.8% | -16.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 38.1% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Mantova U19
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Mantova U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00