GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Verona hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus VeronaWLWLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Pro SestoVirtus Verona
21.9Attack30.7
64.9Defence62.3
30.7Form41.2
41.5Power46.5
0.57xG0.60
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