Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pro Sesto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Triestina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00