Pro Sestovs
Sant'Angelo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone D · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pro Sesto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pro Sesto 1-2 Sant'Angelo
Original prediction
Pro Sesto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.4% | 41.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.5% | 30.7% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pro Sesto
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Pro Sesto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40