Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pro Sesto are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Renate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20