GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/28/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Patria hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoLWDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pro PatriaLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Pro SestoPro Patria
21.9Attack32.5
64.9Defence55.3
30.7Form40.4
41.5Power45.1
0.68xG0.63
View match centre →