Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pro Sesto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60