Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Pro Sesto are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40