Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pro Sesto are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lumezzane are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40