GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro SestoGiana Erminio
33.3Attack50.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power45.8
1.38xG1.47
View match centre →