GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/5/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pro SestoGiana Erminio
21.9Attack40.4
64.9Defence61.4
30.7Form46.5
41.5Power50.7
0.58xG0.80
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