GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/16/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Atalanta IILWLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pro SestoAtalanta II
21.9Attack37.7
64.9Defence68.4
30.7Form51.8
41.5Power54.4
0.47xG0.76
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