GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arzignano Valchiampo hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Arzignano ValchiampoWDLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pro SestoArzignano Valchiampo
21.9Attack28.1
64.9Defence67.5
30.7Form38.6
41.5Power46.1
0.49xG0.55
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