GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/21/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Sesto are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Sesto hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro SestoLLDDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AlessandriaLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Pro SestoAlessandria
21.9Attack17.5
64.9Defence57.9
30.7Form20.2
41.5Power34.3
0.67xG0.45
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