GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/3/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Pro PatriaTriestina
32.5Attack53.5
55.3Defence61.4
40.4Form56.1
45.1Power58.1
0.77xG1.36
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