GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Triestina are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaLDWLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TriestinaLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pro PatriaTriestina
32.5Attack53.5
55.3Defence61.4
40.4Form56.1
45.1Power58.1
0.77xG1.36
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