GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/23/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Patria hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaLDWDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Pro SestoLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Pro PatriaPro Sesto
32.5Attack21.9
55.3Defence64.9
40.4Form30.7
45.1Power41.5
0.74xG0.58
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