GGOALVIO

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COMPLETED

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/13/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Novara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.1 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaWDLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NovaraWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pro PatriaNovara
32.5Attack34.2
55.3Defence57.0
40.4Form37.7
45.1Power45.4
0.90xG0.84
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