GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/14/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaDWWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MantovaWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaMantova
32.5Attack63.2
55.3Defence72.8
40.4Form70.2
45.1Power68.8
0.53xG1.66
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