GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/3/2023, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaGiana Erminio
32.5Attack40.4
55.3Defence61.4
40.4Form46.5
45.1Power50.7
0.79xG1.00
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