GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pro Patria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Patria hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pro Patria holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pro Patria

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Pro Patria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FiorenzuolaLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pro PatriaFiorenzuola
32.5Attack33.3
55.3Defence45.6
40.4Form33.3
45.1Power39.9
1.15xG0.80
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