Pro Patriavs
Correggese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone D · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pro Patria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pro Patria 1-1 Correggese
Original prediction
Pro Patria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 58.7% | 43.4% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.4% | 27.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.27 | 16.9% | 29.1% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pro Patria
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Pro Patria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40