GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/8/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Patria hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaWDDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AlessandriaLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaAlessandria
32.5Attack17.5
55.3Defence57.9
40.4Form20.2
45.1Power34.3
0.91xG0.57
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