GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/6/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pro Patria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pro PatriaLWLWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlcioneWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaAlcione
32.5Attack28.9
55.3Defence67.5
40.4Form41.2
45.1Power47.9
0.67xG0.71
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