Pro Palazzolovs
Piacenza
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone B · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piacenza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pro Palazzolo 1-1 Piacenza
Original prediction
Piacenza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.79 | 23.5% | 34.6% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.4% | 28.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.1% | 37.1% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Piacenza
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Piacenza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40