Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Pärnu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Narva U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00