Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Prishtina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Malisheva are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Malisheva hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.75