Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prishtina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Prishtina 4-0 Llapi
Original prediction
Prishtina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 55.9% | 49.7% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 25.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.57 | 19.6% | 24.7% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Prishtina
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Prishtina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrishtinaWLWDL
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LlapiLLDWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PrishtinaLlapi
100.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power22.5
2.05xG1.14