Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prishtina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Prishtina 1-0 Dukagjini, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Prishtina 0-0 Dukagjini
Original prediction
Prishtina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.7% | 49.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 27.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.5% | 22.4% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Projected Score
Prishtina 1–0 Dukagjini
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Prishtina
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Prishtina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrishtinaWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DukagjiniLDWWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PrishtinaDukagjini
100.0Attack38.1
77.8Defence76.2
100.0Form57.1
92.2Power59.6
1.39xG0.66