Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primorje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Primorje are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Krka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Krka hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the 2. SNL, while Primorje holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Primorje
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
12.9%
Primorje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80