Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Primorje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Primorje 3-2 Krka
Original prediction
Primorje
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.6% | 44.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 27.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.8% | 28.5% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Primorje
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Primorje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrimorjeLWLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KrkaLLDWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PrimorjeKrka
33.3Attack35.6
33.3Defence43.3
0.0Form32.2
23.7Power38.8
1.64xG1.05